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I think it'll take longer than that

Posted on: March 5, 2019 at 12:54:03 CT
Joeboo MU
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if automated cars were going to be dominant in 20 years, they'd need to be sold in significant numbers now, and they aren't.

We're looking at more like 30-40 years, we're more than a full generation away from it being the majority of the cars on the road
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Soon, will more car sales be on line than from showrooms? - Macgrantt MU - 3/5 12:15:37
     You buy cars from Hertz this way - XRob MU - 3/5 13:36:18
          RE: You buy cars from Hertz this way - Lerxst MU - 3/5 18:23:35
     Your friend sounds like an idiot. (nm) - zodiac6 JC - 3/5 13:27:12
     I think buying cars online is optimal. - Newcatbirdseat MU - 3/5 12:56:02
          It cuts some useless boarhog tits out of the equation. - SabertoothTiger MU - 3/5 12:58:49
     I don't have millenail children nor am I a millenial. Not - SabertoothTiger MU - 3/5 12:54:30
          Why do you think that just because you text, tweet, - tgr MU - 3/5 12:59:23
               they are at live events and are more engaged in the phone - SabertoothTiger MU - 3/5 13:02:05
                    And in 2 or 3 years, you likely aren't going to remember the - tgr MU - 3/5 13:05:24
                         You don't remember an event, at all, after 2 or 3 years? - Newcatbirdseat MU - 3/5 13:06:44
                              Depends on the event. Some random soccer or baseball game - tgr MU - 3/5 13:10:45
     In 20 years fully automated cars will have replaced just - kcnorthside KC - 3/5 12:49:22
          I think it'll take longer than that - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:54:03
               And there's a lot of pushback and many states - Domino MU - 3/5 12:57:51
          the fully auto car revolution isnt going to happen - colonel angus beef KC - 3/5 12:51:35
               It will be tough since not everyone is going to have it - HandBanana MU - 3/5 12:56:27
               That's the thing about technology. It can be difficult to - kcnorthside KC - 3/5 12:55:33
                    it's going to populate throughout the shipping/trucking - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:57:13
                         the simpsons already did it. - colonel angus beef KC - 3/5 13:03:29
                         And Uber is an unsustainable business model without - kcnorthside KC - 3/5 12:59:17
               It will take a while, but it will definitely happen. - Zeaux MU - 3/5 12:54:51
               not in America - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:54:43
          I am ready for fully automated cars. Would love to just - HandBanana MU - 3/5 12:51:32
               word(nm) - cnk ATL - 3/5 12:54:04
     i don't think i would ever buy a car online(nm) - TigerA MU - 3/5 12:37:20
          i bought an audi online in about 2001. Never saw it until - blake1771 KC - 3/5 12:54:39
          If you knew the car you wanted - kcmizzou99 MU - 3/5 12:46:26
               People that are buying online probably don't want to - tigerdb MU - 3/5 12:49:45
                    Cars need to be fully returnable within lets say a 30 day - HandBanana MU - 3/5 12:53:13
                    oh for sure test drive - kcmizzou99 MU - 3/5 12:52:05
          I'd buy a new car online or one with a warranty but just - lqf2b8 MU - 3/5 12:44:27
     I don't think car purchases will move mostly online until - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:27:54
          Can't really cut out dealerships. - Zeaux MU - 3/5 12:51:28
     purchasing things online means one is lazy?(nm) - cnk ATL - 3/5 12:26:01
          not things, but cars, I use amazon more than anything - Macgrantt MU - 3/5 12:27:45
               personally, I don't see that much of a difference - cnk ATL - 3/5 12:31:06
                    I don't go to the bank to handle most of my banking needs. - kcnorthside KC - 3/5 12:53:08
     Or maybe Tesla is in financial trouble and shutting showroom - DHighlander KC - 3/5 12:24:53
     I think Tesla Motors will be out of business in 5 years - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:24:30
          But those 2 service centers probably are within 50 - StaleyTiger MU - 3/5 12:38:23
               but a lot of rural Missourians spend a lot of money on - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:44:26
                    For sure but you don't see a lot of $100k Mercedes or - StaleyTiger MU - 3/5 12:48:43
                    i thought those were the dominant species out here. - colonel angus beef KC - 3/5 12:46:48
                         Rural Missouri, where you can buy an $80,000 house - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:47:51
          He probably doesn't mean it but he has stated that he - lqf2b8 MU - 3/5 12:32:36
               That is the basic business model Goolgle used when - DHighlander KC - 3/5 12:36:35
          I think the exact opposite is going to occur. With their - tgr MU - 3/5 12:30:54
               Not with poor customer service and low reliability.(nm) - DHighlander KC - 3/5 12:37:12
                    They're not built well, compared to other "luxury" cars - Joeboo MU - 3/5 12:42:24
                    It hasn't hurt them so far. - tgr MU - 3/5 12:42:24
          Yeah, Tesla may not survive, but other companies will follow - Domino MU - 3/5 12:29:08
     New cars will eventually be dominated by online sales - lqf2b8 MU - 3/5 12:21:40
          Also said some are starting to timeshare hi end sports cars - Macgrantt MU - 3/5 12:24:57
          The way it's done now just isn't efficient - Domino MU - 3/5 12:24:19
          That may be true on the east coast. I do not see it - DHighlander KC - 3/5 12:23:31
               It's already happening in bigger cities. I know a lot of - kmawv8 MU - 3/5 12:37:38
                    Sorry, Chicago, Denver and Portland are NOT middle America. - DHighlander KC - 3/5 12:44:31
                    ^^^hippie^^^(nm) - cnk ATL - 3/5 12:39:18
               I could see the average number of cars per family dropping - lqf2b8 MU - 3/5 12:27:12
          That seems a bit silly, I think people will still own cars - MidMoBaller4Life MU - 3/5 12:23:18
               Smaller towns, sure - Domino MU - 3/5 12:26:58
                    We may be very different but I would not give up my personal - DHighlander KC - 3/5 12:40:30
                         It's 70% now. In a couple of years it'll be close to 100% - Domino MU - 3/5 12:43:53
                         30% of the time he can hire an uber or rent a car - lqf2b8 MU - 3/5 12:42:26
                              You also have to figure in convenience to that equation. - DHighlander KC - 3/5 12:50:10
                                   Some of that, the ride share is more convenient - Domino MU - 3/5 12:56:36
                              truth(nm) - Domino MU - 3/5 12:44:15
               imagine, if you can, a world where most jobs are remote - lqf2b8 MU - 3/5 12:26:04
                    I am biased because I love cars - MidMoBaller4Life MU - 3/5 12:34:27
                         It certainly won't happen all at once but the views on cars - lqf2b8 MU - 3/5 12:40:35




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