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Do you not realize 538's model was based on current
Posted on: February 18, 2017 at 18:34:41 CT
tjwheeler UI
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uncertainty (daily) and not Taleb's guesses at future uncertainty?
Silver's model takes the current info (primarily recent polls) and projects uncertainty while considering polling trends, demographics, etc. and then applies the electoral college system.
You shouldn't mix apples and oranges in order to cover up your mistake in your first response to me in this thread.
Silver's model takes the current info (primarily recent polls) and projects uncertainty while considering polling trends, demographics, etc. and then applies the electoral college system.
You shouldn't mix apples and oranges in order to cover up your mistake in your first response to me in this thread.
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Do you not realize 538's model was based on current - tjwheeler UI - 2/18 18:34:41