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"not sure it would be prudent to put much faith in the model

Posted on: April 16, 2020 at 16:01:58 CT
phrejd STL
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that's exactly what the policy you're recommending is based upon

your faulty logic has come full circle
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Parson extends Missouri shut down until May 4(nm) - MizzouAstro MU - 4/16 15:07:08
     This whole thread was retarded(nm) - tbluck STL - 4/16 16:54:19
     Droopy Dog is the governor of our state - Joeboo MU - 4/16 15:39:42
          and rugrat is our football coach. wtf is going on here? - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:12:10
               so he never really played football, right? - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 16:24:59
     ladies and gentlemen, this is Phase 2 of the shut down(nm) - Iam4Mizzou MU - 4/16 15:37:24
          How many phases are we shooting for?(nm) - Joeboo MU - 4/16 15:40:14
               I call this phase - Iam4Mizzou MU - 4/16 15:41:24
                    His teeth reminded me today to get some spearmint Chiclets(nm) - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:43:10
     They are all going to be extended 4 or 5 more times still - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:32:10
          This issue will be drug along until at least November. - jonesin - 4/16 16:37:05
               all of this was to get rid of trump, aye? - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 16:40:44
                    It's such a genius plan that even republican governors and - tgr MU - 4/16 16:50:28
                         R v D means nothing. There are patriots and there are - jonesin - 4/16 17:18:52
                    And to cripple America. Break the economy. Cause fear. - jonesin - 4/16 16:42:30
          Even if the orders were lifted tomorrow, I'd bet restaurants - tgr MU - 4/16 16:29:25
               By the time some sense of "normality" returns, it will be - jonesin - 4/16 16:39:01
               from what im hearing, people are more worried about giving - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 16:38:04
          A destroyed economy and mass poverty will kill more - TheWildcat MU - 4/16 16:09:34
          there will be an all clear siren - Iam4Mizzou MU - 4/16 16:01:50
               with strict social distancing measures (nm) - ashtray UF - 4/16 16:02:15
          im waiting to be tapped as a “thought leader." - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:52:18
               RE: im waiting to be tapped as a “thought leader." - jonesin - 4/16 17:27:55
                    Have fun in bankruptcy court - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 19:40:18
               Believe they mine the - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:56:22
                    For a superior intellect with an undoubtably superior - jonesin - 4/16 17:24:53
          what makes you think they're going to shut down again? (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:33:12
               b/c it will validate his prediction - dangertim MU - 4/16 15:41:34
                    Yeah, I got a solution, you're a dick! - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:55:01
                    That is the most important outcome (nm) - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:43:07
                    there are people like him in this world. they walk among us - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:42:37
               I'm saying if they were to ever remove the shut down - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:35:26
                    except for the fact that the healthcare system was in - TigerJackSwartz MU - 4/16 15:45:46
                         Its not overwhelmed because we are in shut down - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:47:47
                              The models were wrong. They said even with social - TigerJackSwartz MU - 4/16 15:56:13
                                   Of course. Its a predictive model based on many - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:59:01
                                        "not sure it would be prudent to put much faith in the model - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:01:58
                                             No, I'm not using any model - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 16:04:39
                                                  i know you're not using a model (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:06:20
                              not everyone is in shut down (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:48:24
                    I disagree there is nothing different - Eggs MU - 4/16 15:44:49
                         Agree, 4 or 5 months from now we likely will - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:51:20
                    i'm asking what makes you think they'll have to shut down - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:39:15
                         RE: i'm asking what makes you think they'll have to shut down - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:42:25
                              id' say a lot is different. we have 2 months of data vs - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:44:26
                                   Those models are based on a shut down being in - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:46:33
                                        of course we have that data. don't be naive (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:47:24
                                             what did your test indicate - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:49:38
                                                  again - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:51:08
                                                       There are vastly more people like you and I who are - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:53:48
                                                            do you not understand what a sample is? (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:56:16
                                                                 Yes. What we have currently is an incomplete and - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 16:01:02
                                                                      a simple "no, i don't understand" would suffice - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:03:14
                                                                           That is not the proper way to execute that - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 16:07:51
                                                                                i can understand why you would choose to believe that (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:14:47
                    When this started, nobody said anything about shutting - kmawv8 MU - 4/16 15:37:42
                         Well the curve would go right back to being unflattened in - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:40:34
                              can you point to the unflattened part of the curve - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:41:44
                                   No, we don't have actual data - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:44:18
                                        i'm not sure you understand the difference between data - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:45:44
     May 7 here in CA was the last I heard - HandBanana MU - 4/16 15:23:38
     RE: Parson extends Missouri shut down until May 4(nm) - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:20:02
          Remember how you said the economy should shut down - Sal MU - 4/16 15:22:51
               Yes, and remember when I told you... - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:25:30
                    Those neck braces aren't going to move themselves... - Carlos Rossi KC - 4/16 15:31:15
                         Think I've seen this one...is the one where... - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:44:05
     Just said phase one of reopening will start 5/4(nm) - doughboy MU - 4/16 15:19:42
     New guidelines for re-opening just released by feds - TigerNuts KC - 4/16 15:14:27
     He must be a Star Wars fan (nm) - Sal MU - 4/16 15:08:01
          i somehow doubt that huckleberry looking dude - SEC_BIG_GAMEHUNTER SEC - 4/16 15:13:25
               He probably considers it blasphemy or satanism - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:19:37
                    if jarjar binks isn't a satanic blasphemelogup, i don't know - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:34:20
                         that sum***** is sith lord - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:39:50




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