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I disagree there is nothing different

Posted on: April 16, 2020 at 15:44:49 CT
Eggs MU
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a lot has been learned about the virus the past month. There is more data, more testing, and more treatments in trial. While I agree those things aren't at adequate level yet, they are a lot closer than they were a month ago.

It also looks like mitigation or lack thereof has way less impact in places with lower population density. None of the few states who didn't issue shelter in place orders are getting hammered as a result. Those continue being the states with the least impact. Wyoming, North Dakota, and Montana have under 20 combined covid deaths. Taking the same measures there as NYC is simply silly.

Edited by Eggs at 15:45:50 on 04/16/20
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MESSAGE THREAD

Parson extends Missouri shut down until May 4(nm) - MizzouAstro MU - 4/16 15:07:08
     This whole thread was retarded(nm) - tbluck STL - 4/16 16:54:19
     Droopy Dog is the governor of our state - Joeboo MU - 4/16 15:39:42
          and rugrat is our football coach. wtf is going on here? - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:12:10
               so he never really played football, right? - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 16:24:59
     ladies and gentlemen, this is Phase 2 of the shut down(nm) - Iam4Mizzou MU - 4/16 15:37:24
          How many phases are we shooting for?(nm) - Joeboo MU - 4/16 15:40:14
               I call this phase - Iam4Mizzou MU - 4/16 15:41:24
                    His teeth reminded me today to get some spearmint Chiclets(nm) - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:43:10
     They are all going to be extended 4 or 5 more times still - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:32:10
          This issue will be drug along until at least November. - jonesin - 4/16 16:37:05
               all of this was to get rid of trump, aye? - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 16:40:44
                    It's such a genius plan that even republican governors and - tgr MU - 4/16 16:50:28
                         R v D means nothing. There are patriots and there are - jonesin - 4/16 17:18:52
                    And to cripple America. Break the economy. Cause fear. - jonesin - 4/16 16:42:30
          Even if the orders were lifted tomorrow, I'd bet restaurants - tgr MU - 4/16 16:29:25
               By the time some sense of "normality" returns, it will be - jonesin - 4/16 16:39:01
               from what im hearing, people are more worried about giving - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 16:38:04
          A destroyed economy and mass poverty will kill more - TheWildcat MU - 4/16 16:09:34
          there will be an all clear siren - Iam4Mizzou MU - 4/16 16:01:50
               with strict social distancing measures (nm) - ashtray UF - 4/16 16:02:15
          im waiting to be tapped as a “thought leader." - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:52:18
               RE: im waiting to be tapped as a “thought leader." - jonesin - 4/16 17:27:55
                    Have fun in bankruptcy court - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 19:40:18
               Believe they mine the - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:56:22
                    For a superior intellect with an undoubtably superior - jonesin - 4/16 17:24:53
          what makes you think they're going to shut down again? (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:33:12
               b/c it will validate his prediction - dangertim MU - 4/16 15:41:34
                    Yeah, I got a solution, you're a dick! - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:55:01
                    That is the most important outcome (nm) - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:43:07
                    there are people like him in this world. they walk among us - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:42:37
               I'm saying if they were to ever remove the shut down - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:35:26
                    except for the fact that the healthcare system was in - TigerJackSwartz MU - 4/16 15:45:46
                         Its not overwhelmed because we are in shut down - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:47:47
                              The models were wrong. They said even with social - TigerJackSwartz MU - 4/16 15:56:13
                                   Of course. Its a predictive model based on many - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:59:01
                                        "not sure it would be prudent to put much faith in the model - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:01:58
                                             No, I'm not using any model - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 16:04:39
                                                  i know you're not using a model (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:06:20
                              not everyone is in shut down (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:48:24
                    I disagree there is nothing different - Eggs MU - 4/16 15:44:49
                         Agree, 4 or 5 months from now we likely will - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:51:20
                    i'm asking what makes you think they'll have to shut down - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:39:15
                         RE: i'm asking what makes you think they'll have to shut down - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:42:25
                              id' say a lot is different. we have 2 months of data vs - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:44:26
                                   Those models are based on a shut down being in - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:46:33
                                        of course we have that data. don't be naive (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:47:24
                                             what did your test indicate - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:49:38
                                                  again - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:51:08
                                                       There are vastly more people like you and I who are - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:53:48
                                                            do you not understand what a sample is? (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:56:16
                                                                 Yes. What we have currently is an incomplete and - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 16:01:02
                                                                      a simple "no, i don't understand" would suffice - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:03:14
                                                                           That is not the proper way to execute that - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 16:07:51
                                                                                i can understand why you would choose to believe that (nm) - phrejd MU - 4/16 16:14:47
                    When this started, nobody said anything about shutting - kmawv8 MU - 4/16 15:37:42
                         Well the curve would go right back to being unflattened in - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:40:34
                              can you point to the unflattened part of the curve - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:41:44
                                   No, we don't have actual data - FIJItiger MU - 4/16 15:44:18
                                        i'm not sure you understand the difference between data - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:45:44
     May 7 here in CA was the last I heard - HandBanana MU - 4/16 15:23:38
     RE: Parson extends Missouri shut down until May 4(nm) - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:20:02
          Remember how you said the economy should shut down - Sal MU - 4/16 15:22:51
               Yes, and remember when I told you... - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:25:30
                    Those neck braces aren't going to move themselves... - Carlos Rossi KC - 4/16 15:31:15
                         Think I've seen this one...is the one where... - Gyro MU - 4/16 15:44:05
     Just said phase one of reopening will start 5/4(nm) - doughboy MU - 4/16 15:19:42
     New guidelines for re-opening just released by feds - TigerNuts KC - 4/16 15:14:27
     He must be a Star Wars fan (nm) - Sal MU - 4/16 15:08:01
          i somehow doubt that huckleberry looking dude - SEC_BIG_GAMEHUNTER SEC - 4/16 15:13:25
               He probably considers it blasphemy or satanism - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:19:37
                    if jarjar binks isn't a satanic blasphemelogup, i don't know - phrejd MU - 4/16 15:34:20
                         that sum***** is sith lord - colonel angus beef KC - 4/16 15:39:50




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