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If you are a governor, do you plan for the worst scenario or

Posted on: April 9, 2020 at 16:55:02 CT
SparkyStalcup MU
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the rosiest? Or somewhere in between?

The models assume certain things that may change over a couple of weeks. A model three weeks ago may have been based on a more pessimistic assumption of social distancing efforts. If the efforts are effective, then yes, the model isn't predictive.
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MESSAGE THREAD

Models - *M* KC - 4/9 15:49:00
     When drastic measures are a result of the models - Sal MU - 4/9 16:44:47
          it always works the same with with hurricane models - ashtray UF - 4/9 21:00:44
          you have a PhD in statistics, bro? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:49:36
               lol (nm) - Sal MU - 4/9 19:19:28
               Do the models factor in people taking responsibility for - Uncle Fester USMC - 4/9 16:58:25
                    Hey Fester, you claim to be an MSL Christian. Questions - *M* KC - 4/9 17:18:20
                         Not sure what MSL is but to answer the question i was - Uncle Fester USMC - 4/9 17:30:24
                              Missouri Synod Lutheran. Thought you said once - *M* KC - 4/9 18:52:58
                    i think people can take proactive measures with grossly - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:11:06
     I don't like to flatten curves, especially on women. - Deputy Dawg MU - 4/9 16:39:14
          Speaking of flat models, is Twiggy still among the living? - Deputy Dawg MU - 4/9 16:41:09
     Condescending credentialism is probably more viral than - ummmm MU - 4/9 16:32:04
          If you are a governor, do you plan for the worst scenario or - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/9 16:55:02
               i would reject the notion that it's my responsibility and in - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:11:59
               If I am a governor, I don't interfere with free thinking - ummmm MU - 4/9 17:03:05
                    every sperm is sacred, ummmm (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:16:42
          You summed up my concerns beautifully - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/9 16:48:03
               ive noticed from your posting that you don't seem - *M* KC - 4/9 17:13:24
                    Well, that cannot be proven - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/9 17:43:26
                    lmfao, yeah, the devil made the virus and god saved - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:17:22
                         If you believe in God, you believe there is also Satan - Spanky KU - 4/9 17:44:17
                              i think the whole of it is nonsense (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:44:58
          POTS - SparkyStalcup (not) (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:44:43
          Bingo!(nm) - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:35:21
     yet we took those models, despite of the context and caveats - dangertim MU - 4/9 16:31:23
     Pretty much on the nose - KC rules MU - 4/9 16:29:28
     The problem has been with the messaging - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:26:01
     It’s a who’s who of TB retards applauding this garbage post. - Emoji Man MSU - 4/9 16:25:01
          boy you nailed that(nm) - DollarSigns MU - 4/9 16:28:12
          Aaaaand BOOM !! Goes the Dynamite - Uncle Fester USMC - 4/9 16:26:39
     Well done - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/9 16:19:49
          lol (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:49:55
     A model that can't accurately produce output reasonably - Bulldog Bob Brown STL - 4/9 16:16:42
          nm - Emoji Man MSU - 4/9 16:22:55
     “Some people end up with less money.” Spoken like a true - Emoji Man MSU - 4/9 16:15:19
     Scam. - Newcatbirdseat MU - 4/9 16:13:45
     i've never evaluated a model. link? all i evaluated - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:10:03
          RE: i've never evaluated a model. link? all i evaluated - *M* KC - 4/9 16:11:13
               of course I understand it. you somehow think i don't - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:13:14
                    You think he's typing while hiding under a desk (nm) - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/9 16:31:08
                         it's a metaphor (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:45:44
                    you idiot, you indicated below you - Ferg STL - 4/9 16:25:23
                         RE: you idiot, you indicated below you - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:48:45
                              you're a fuking moron - Ferg STL - 4/9 16:56:23
                                   I stated i AM social distancing. You asked if I "would" - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:14:10
                                        the government isn't stopping you from flying - Ferg STL - 4/9 17:20:35
                                             answered below - to go where? I'm not flying out - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:42:30
                         lol, i'm practicing it now, Ferg, you can still social - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:47:31
                              how exactly do you practice social distancing on - Ferg STL - 4/9 16:54:13
                                   depends on if they restrict the numbers of passengers. - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:55:30
                                        I didn't say anything about government orders - Ferg STL - 4/9 16:58:39
                                             then you're missing the point of nearly all of the - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:12:36
                                                  then the debate is too narrowly focused - Ferg STL - 4/9 17:19:40
                                                       lol, no, nobody blamed "the entirety" on government, you're - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 17:43:53
     Damage to the economy was going to happen regardless. - TigerMatt STL - 4/9 16:09:11
          That's exactly what has happened in Sweden - Eggs MU - 4/9 16:11:59
               The question is, who is most capable of risk assessment for - TigerMatt STL - 4/9 16:18:01
                    Obviously the individual - Eggs MU - 4/9 16:19:08
          of course (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:10:46
     POTD. Nm - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/9 16:06:17
          Lol, figured(nm) - tigerNkc MU - 4/9 16:20:07
          trump owns a fund that holds stock in an IT firm - dangertim MU - 4/9 16:18:16
          lol like you have any f*cking clue(nm) - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:13:11
               You sure as heck don't nm - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/9 16:20:52
                    I've been saying from the beginning the models were - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:22:46
                         Which model and what are the specific underlying - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/9 16:24:11
                              lol I don't know idiot because the assumptions have never - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:26:38
                                   LMAO. I found this on Google in 15 seconds - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/9 16:29:47
                                        Nm nm - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/9 16:40:20
                                             lol goddam(nm) - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:41:22
                                        Jesus f*cking Christ you're stupid - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:34:31
                                             And the Columbia model has been evaluated by most to be - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/9 16:41:12
                                             Dont Blaspheme boy - Uncle Fester USMC - 4/9 16:37:07
                                                  I will send you to meet Jesus old man - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/9 16:38:38
                                                       With yer big Thor Hammer ? LOL - Uncle Fester USMC - 4/9 16:41:39




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