think you are incorrect, RFKJ was 10 % w/Biden in the race
Posted on: August 23, 2024 at 15:03:21 CT
raskolnikov MU
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He dropped to 5-6% once Harris became the nominee. He appealed to a niche some of which liked his pro environtal stance. That appears not to have been a fraud as his endorsement of a guy who is anti-environment. And per the convention-bump, those do not historically happen the next day, but take a weekend or so. And if Gabbard actually endorsed Trump, then her credibility plummets.
And you tip your hand some when you call NV and AZ swing states as they were solidly in Trump's column prior to Harris. And you left out GA and NC which are both in the mix now, GA for a Trump loss and NC for requiring Trump's time and money to hold it. Also not taken into account yet is the significant field office and volunteer edge Harris enjoys. As of not too long ago, Harris had 27 offices in PA compared to two for Trump. Donnie's money has all gone to lawyers while the Harris camp invests in people and outreach.