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But wouldn’t lag time affect both those numbers? We were

Posted on: April 9, 2020 at 15:02:28 CT

DHighlander NWMSU

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off the ball on testing so if either of those numbers is low wouldn’t it be the cases not the deaths? And wouldn’t the skew the numbers even further?

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The US currently has about 1/3 of the world’s cases but only - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 14:39:28

Lag time - KC rules MU - 4/9 14:46:38

Nothing to do with that. Simple answer? We test more(nm) - tigerNkc MU

- 4/9 15:05:41

Really? This says differently. - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:13:47

tests per million has zippo to do with total tests performed - Spanky KU - 4/9 16:43:39

I guess maybe fewer places of high density? More space to - tigerNkc MU

- 4/9 15:16:13

I have been saying for days that population density will - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:20:19

SF has 10 deaths and 724 cases.. their population density - Spanky KU - 4/9 17:49:03

But wouldn’t lag time affect both those numbers? We were - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:02:28

RE: But wouldn’t lag time affect both those numbers? We were - KC rules MU - 4/9 15:13:06

You put a lot of trust in models that have been horribly - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:19:04

The "models" are not "inaccurate". The models are simply - *M* KC - 4/9 15:37:08

All models are wrong - some are useful - KC rules MU - 4/9 15:42:58

Not at all - KC rules MU - 4/9 15:28:39

RE: The US currently has about 1/3 of the world’s cases but only - *M* KC - 4/9 14:44:05

If we have 1/3 or the total cases and only 1/6 of the deaths - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:04:26

Your assumption is that confirmed tests - meatiger MU - 4/9 15:06:30

We are counting everything related to Covid or looking like - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:10:40

RE: We are counting everything related to Covid or looking like - meatiger MU - 4/9 15:12:11

And my point was if there were an error on our part it would - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:26:33

RE: If we have 1/3 or the total cases and only 1/6 of the deaths - *M* KC - 4/9 15:05:04

Sorry, I got the first part of your statement but misread - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:07:33

RE: Sorry, I got the first part of your statement but misread - *M* KC - 4/9 15:13:58

Not ours but in Europe. Their systems have been - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/9 15:30:05

The smartest epidemiologist in the United States in January: - ummmm MU - 4/9 15:21:48

Yup. even the world's leading experts are sometimes - *M* KC - 4/9 15:28:13

But Dr. Fauci is definitely right now. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/9 15:28:56

I don't remember saying that. Is that what you think? - *M* KC - 4/9 15:34:16

I'm relying on an opinion of an epidemiologist too: - ummmm MU - 4/9 16:38:33

Both sides will find their evidence - meatiger MU - 4/9 15:13:34

um, it's a virus. it's not going to be eradicated. I'm goin - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 14:47:37

How ‘bout polio? - Emoji Man MSU - 4/9 15:26:10

We managed to essentially eradicate Smallpox which is indeed - KC rules MU - 4/9 14:53:12

Just wait till the ChiComs release weaponized smallpox - Uncle Fester USMC - 4/9 15:03:10

RE: We managed to essentially eradicate Smallpox which is indeed - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:00:36

RE: We managed to essentially eradicate Smallpox which is indeed - *M* KC - 4/9 15:07:36

lol, yeah - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:08:48

Smallpox exists in governmental labs all over the world - Bulldog Bob Brown STL - 4/9 15:04:10

You've heard of the smallpox virus, I presume. - *M* KC - 4/9 14:52:19

and i'm also noting you didn't deny my assertion. I'm - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:06:32

And I'm noticing that as usual. - *M* KC - 4/9 15:17:11

i was and remain totally dead right about this and you're - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:19:49

RE: i was and remain totally dead right about this and you're - *M* KC - 4/9 15:32:26

I support social distancing too, and the hospital capacity i - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 16:12:38

yeah, it's the only time in history it's happened. good luc - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:01:35

Eradicated? That will likely never happen. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/9 14:45:33

probably not, but not impossible. - *M* KC - 4/9 14:50:15

The vast majority of people will clear this infection on - ummmm MU - 4/9 14:56:05

RE: The vast majority of people will clear this infection on - *M* KC - 4/9 14:58:53

hiding people from the virus will increase chances - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:17:40

as I indicated above, you're totally lost on all of this - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:17:03

Epidemiologists don't focus on eradication, so I don't - ummmm MU - 4/9 15:03:43

RE: Epidemiologists don't focus on eradication, so I don't - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 15:18:57

The biggest reason we would have a worse 2nd wave - meatiger MU - 4/9 15:01:34

Oh yeah? Just wait till the Bill Gates Vaccine of Death - Uncle Fester USMC - 4/9 14:49:22

US tests more - meatiger MU - 4/9 14:42:58

Among many other things(nm) - meatiger MU - 4/9 14:43:16

check your premise (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/9 14:40:17

I'm coming up with 17% of the deaths, ~ 29% of the cases. (nm) - JeffB MU

- 4/9 15:20:07