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How could one asses the impact on an election
Posted on: July 19, 2025 at 19:52:19 CT
haeffb MU
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until the election had passed?
This is information in the Sep ICA. Sorry for the formatting - I’m not going to try to correct it.
Key Judgment 4. We judge Russia has conducted cyber and intelligence
operations that suggest that it has potential interest in disrupting the US presidential election.
Russia is probably the most capable and willing actor to conduct such operations based on its probable
involvement in US election-related disclosures, the downward trend the bilateral relationship, and Russian
leaders’ deeply held belief that Washington has tried to influence past Russian elections.
We assess that Russian intelligence services were behind the compromises of
the DNC and DCCC networks and of email accounts from members of Congress, state political parties,
a voter registration organization, and seven other US political organizations. We have high
confidence in our assessment
Cyber operations are only one component of a multifaceted toolkit the Russians employ to
influence the outcome of elections in other countries. Russia also uses general media messaging to
promote or disparage candidates and other tools, some of which we judge would be more difficult for the
Kremlin to replicate in the United States. (See Annex C: Moscow’s Efforts To Manipulate Foreign
Elections, 2000-2016.) Cyber influence operations that involve the release of compromising or
embarrassing information—whether true or fabricated—are force multipliers for Moscow’s media
messaging. They can be used to grab headlines quickly in what is otherwise a very open and diverse US
media environment in which the Kremlin cannot control the message as easily as in other countries.
We assess that the Russian services probably orchestrated at least some of the
disclosures of DNC and DCCC documents from June to August 2016. Our assessment is based on the
timing of the disclosures and the fact that Russian intelligence was in possession of the leaked
information from both the DNC and DCCC that the online persona “Guccifer 2.0” claimed to have provided.
This is information in the Sep ICA. Sorry for the formatting - I’m not going to try to correct it.
Key Judgment 4. We judge Russia has conducted cyber and intelligence
operations that suggest that it has potential interest in disrupting the US presidential election.
Russia is probably the most capable and willing actor to conduct such operations based on its probable
involvement in US election-related disclosures, the downward trend the bilateral relationship, and Russian
leaders’ deeply held belief that Washington has tried to influence past Russian elections.
We assess that Russian intelligence services were behind the compromises of
the DNC and DCCC networks and of email accounts from members of Congress, state political parties,
a voter registration organization, and seven other US political organizations. We have high
confidence in our assessment
Cyber operations are only one component of a multifaceted toolkit the Russians employ to
influence the outcome of elections in other countries. Russia also uses general media messaging to
promote or disparage candidates and other tools, some of which we judge would be more difficult for the
Kremlin to replicate in the United States. (See Annex C: Moscow’s Efforts To Manipulate Foreign
Elections, 2000-2016.) Cyber influence operations that involve the release of compromising or
embarrassing information—whether true or fabricated—are force multipliers for Moscow’s media
messaging. They can be used to grab headlines quickly in what is otherwise a very open and diverse US
media environment in which the Kremlin cannot control the message as easily as in other countries.
We assess that the Russian services probably orchestrated at least some of the
disclosures of DNC and DCCC documents from June to August 2016. Our assessment is based on the
timing of the disclosures and the fact that Russian intelligence was in possession of the leaked
information from both the DNC and DCCC that the online persona “Guccifer 2.0” claimed to have provided.
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How could one asses the impact on an election - haeffb MU - 7/19 19:52:19