and wages are rising....
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/donald-trump-s-self-deportation-strategy-sees-1-million-leave-and-wages-are-rising/ar-AA1GPr4y?ocid=hpmsn&cvid=436b2a5804d746afa51d42468c5a0dd0&ei=98
While headlines focus on border arrests and high-profile removals, a quieter immigration shift is underway and has big economic effects. Nearly 1 million undocumented immigrants have voluntarily left the United States since Donald Trump returned to office in January 2025, driven by a federal campaign that promotes self-deportation as a preferred alternative to costly enforcement operations.
The program, reintroduced and rebranded under Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and “border czar” Tom Homan, centers on voluntary compliance with immigration law, including leaving the country without government intervention.
As per ICE’s framework, self-deportation allows undocumented migrants to avoid detention, legal proceedings, and reentry bans while giving them time to settle their affairs and exit on their terms.
While the debate rages over immigration enforcement, the labor market is already reacting. Fewer undocumented workers in low-wage sectors have led to increased competition for legal labor and a noticeable uptick in hourly wages.
Donald Trump’s Self-Deportation Strategy
The idea of self-deportation is not new. It was used in previous administrations, most notably after 9/11 and during Eisenhower’s 1954 round-up, when nearly 10 migrants self-deported for every arrest. However, this latest iteration under Trump is broader in scope and digital in execution.
It began on Inauguration Day 2025 when President Trump signed a directive requiring all foreign nationals, whether legal or undocumented, to register with the federal government.
DHS swiftly followed with a revamped digital registration system and a nationwide awareness campaign. One key tool? The controversial CBP One app (once used to process asylum claims under Biden) was rebranded into “CBP Home,” a self-reporting mechanism allowing migrants to notify the government of their departure plans.
Noem’s DHS sweetened the offer with a $1,000 stipend for those who leave voluntarily. The New York Post reports that this is a fraction of the estimated $17,100 it costs to deport a single individual through the traditional ICE process.
By May, The Washington Post noted “a million foreign-born workers” had disappeared from the U.S. labor force since March. While some analysts framed the trend as a blow to labor supply, others pointed to a wage-driven silver lining: average hourly pay rose by 0.4% to $36.24 in May, outpacing inflation and boosting worker spending power.
Voluntary Exits Due to Tougher Messaging
According to the Center for Immigration Studies, the U.S. currently houses approximately 15.4 million illegal immigrants, aka a 50% spike from the pre-Trump era. The Biden administration, they argue, allowed unchecked border crossings while ignoring congressional detention mandates.
In contrast, Donald Trump’s team has adopted a dual-track approach. While criminal arrests remain a priority (the so-called “worst first” strategy), the softer messaging appears to be driving change. TV ads and online campaigns emphasize the benefits of voluntary departure, warning that failure to comply could mean detention, years-long reentry bans, and forced separation from family and community.
Critics argue the approach creates fear and instability. Immigrant advocacy groups warn of under-the-radar targeting, while others point out that $1,000 is a poor consolation for lives uprooted.
However, the math works for Trump supporters and fiscal hawks: fewer enforcement raids, reduced ICE detentions, and a shift in workforce dynamics favoring American citizens and legal residents. What remains clear is that the policy’s effectiveness hinges not just on incentives but on perceived seriousness.
Migrants are likelier to leave if they believe enforcement is imminent, and employers are under scrutiny.