Just over one week out, here is why I still think Trump wins
Posted on: October 28, 2024 at 08:15:28 CT
4TigersinMichigan MU
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Trump will overperform polls. He has, very strongly, in both of his previous runs. Last election I admit I bought into the notion Trump voters could match the enthusiasm of those who wanted him out. I was wrong.
This time, the enthusiasm is much more with Trump. The Trump haters are there, but Kamala/Walz just does not provide anything of real spark. And, Trump will once again overperform his polls. And if he only does that by 2 points (it has always been more than 2 points), he leads not only in the Electoral College but likely in the popular vote. I don't see how Kamala changes that at this point given her inability to look into the camera and sway voters her way.