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I was wrong on the 2020 election

Posted on: October 25, 2024 at 15:01:35 CT
4TigersinMichigan MU
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I saw the polls with Biden holding a lead. I felt the Trump under polling was significant and he would win. I was wrong. Trump absolutely under polled (i.e., shown down 5% in WI and lost by 20k votes.) This played out elsewhere. Trump performed much better than his poll numbers but lost. I was asked why I ignored the data. It was a fair question.

For 2024, here is what I want to know from anyone predicting a Trump loss. If you look at the polling data Trump is pretty much even if not winning in most of the key states. Many polls have him tied or winning the national popular vote. It is almost certain he will still under poll. What is the logic in ignoring all of that and predicting a Harris win?
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I was wrong on the 2020 election - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 10/25 15:01:35
     You are a lover of Fascism(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 10/25 16:22:51
          grow up and find some new material, Hillary (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 10/25 17:32:29
          RE: You are a lover of Fascism(nm) - Bulldog Bob Brown STL - 10/25 16:47:12
          You avoided the question - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 10/25 16:37:29
          You are a voting for a candidate that did - GODZILLA MU - 10/25 16:26:11
     An Excitable Boy. Polls are too early friend. You see - Floyd Turbo 99 - 10/25 15:42:08
     It is likely in the it is his to lose category - meatiger MU - 10/25 15:18:41
     the polls are all over the place but no credible poll - JG A - 10/25 15:16:13
          That doesn't negate what he said. The Dems had a lead in - JeffB MU - 10/25 15:23:07
               That over/under polling is past - raskolnikov MU - 10/25 16:25:33
                    The hatred of Trump & the vitriol has escalated, if anything - JeffB MU - 10/25 17:20:43
                    Lol...Denial (nm) - Seagull MU - 10/25 16:43:18
               I'll believe it when I see it - JG A - 10/25 15:25:36
                    And still won't admit you're wrong. Instead, you will - hefeweizen MU - 10/25 15:37:09
                         voter suppression is still very real - JG A - 10/25 15:39:17
                              Bullshyte, We can't even suppress your useless posting. - RHAYWORTH MU - 10/25 16:05:56
               There is not a realistic scenario where Trump wins the - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 10/25 15:24:43
                    I agree that it is a very unlikely scenario, but it is also - JeffB MU - 10/25 15:31:25
                         If that happened, one would have to ask - Wildcat KSU - 10/25 15:39:13
                              They are all shortsighted - meatiger MU - 10/25 15:46:24
                                   It bit them in the rear with regards to the senate - JeffB MU - 10/25 15:52:41
                                        agreed(nm) - meatiger MU - 10/25 15:55:59
          Only an idiot talks about the popular vote - Wildcat KSU - 10/25 15:18:09
               It is being talked about because of this - meatiger MU - 10/25 15:21:24
                    Thanks, I wasn't aware of that. (nm) - JeffB MU - 10/25 15:24:56
                         It took off when Trump first got elected - meatiger MU - 10/25 15:26:38
                              It may not just be court battles, unfortunately: - JeffB MU - 10/25 15:33:30
                    RE: It is being talked about because of this - Wildcat KSU - 10/25 15:23:06
     The Marxists will do whatever they can to steal the election - Fourth and Long MU - 10/25 15:16:10
          Sad, but until Trump is sworn in I won't believe he will be - tigertix MU - 10/25 15:28:43
     Given his disability has yet to be removed, ideally a - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 15:11:38
          Kamala should be named Queen - mu7176grad MU - 10/25 16:07:49
               That makes zero sense, but thanks (nm) - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 16:09:03
          so you're against the will of the people - FootballRefugee MU - 10/25 15:15:03
               Fiji only supports the right of dem elite to pick president - RHAYWORTH MU - 10/25 16:07:26
               People aren’t allowed to vote a 12 yr old in as president - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 15:19:10
                    That's in the Constitution - FootballRefugee MU - 10/25 15:31:22
                         As is this - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 15:34:34
                              yes, and there was no insurrection - FootballRefugee MU - 10/25 15:50:28
                                   you know that requires legal action, right, not just you - 90Tiger STL - 10/25 17:34:53
                                   Agree, it spanned many months (nm) - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 16:09:59
                    I can’t write in a 12 year old?(nm) - El-ahrairah BAMA - 10/25 15:25:53
                         You can, and you can also vote for Trump - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 15:30:00
                              keep telling yourself that - FootballRefugee MU - 10/25 15:31:47
                                   They could have voted to remove his disability - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 15:36:32
                                        you're trying hard here - FootballRefugee MU - 10/25 15:50:54
                                             It’s actually very easy, and not remotely ambiguous (nm) - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 16:10:55
               When it’s against his views(nm) - El-ahrairah BAMA - 10/25 15:18:19
          Is "disability" a legal term? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 10/25 15:14:49
               Constitutional, I’m quoting from the constitution amendment(nm) - FIJItiger MU - 10/25 15:17:16
                    the constitution is a legal document - 90Tiger STL - 10/25 16:38:04
     They won’t let him win(nm) - El-ahrairah BAMA - 10/25 15:03:09




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