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And now a word about PA-edited
Posted on: October 31, 2020 at 17:53:34 CT
JG MU
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M.O.B. Votes:
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As it stands
there are about 4 million votes left in PA.
Figuring that it works out that registered dems vote for dema and registered repubs generally vote that ticket
(there are obviously going to be defectors on both sides)
and figuring nonpartisans split -though I think Biden is going to win that segment.
Trump needs to capture 62% of the remaining ballots.
But wait there is more
Allegeny County and Philadelphia counties account for a bout 1 million of those ballots.
Allegeny county went dem 56% and Philadelphia went 82% dem in 2016.
Figure in those and Trump needs to win 80% of the rest of the ballots.
Only one county of 19,000 people went above 80% for Trump in 2016. And less than a handful went above 70%.
haha edited for better math skills
Conclusion: Toasted Trump
Edited by JG at 18:08:21 on 10/31/20
there are about 4 million votes left in PA.
Figuring that it works out that registered dems vote for dema and registered repubs generally vote that ticket
(there are obviously going to be defectors on both sides)
and figuring nonpartisans split -though I think Biden is going to win that segment.
Trump needs to capture 62% of the remaining ballots.
But wait there is more
Allegeny County and Philadelphia counties account for a bout 1 million of those ballots.
Allegeny county went dem 56% and Philadelphia went 82% dem in 2016.
Figure in those and Trump needs to win 80% of the rest of the ballots.
Only one county of 19,000 people went above 80% for Trump in 2016. And less than a handful went above 70%.
haha edited for better math skills
Conclusion: Toasted Trump
Edited by JG at 18:08:21 on 10/31/20
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And now a word about PA-edited - JG A - 10/31 17:53:34