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RE: Silver had Trump with a 30% chance to win on election

Posted on: July 19, 2020 at 16:05:55 CT
markymarksthirdnipple STL
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Most people don't understand how high a 30% chance is, especially in a single event study.

All we can really hope for is that Biden learned from Hillary's poor decisions in 2016.
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Biden holds 21 point lead among voters - Left Field NAVY - 7/19 15:13:27
     lol Like Tennessee's recruiting national championship(nm) - TigerFan92 STL - 7/19 17:17:21
     He leans on bitter White HS drop-outs(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 7/19 17:00:28
     So Dems are no longer the workers' party and are the party - 90Tiger STL - 7/19 16:49:11
          Anyone paying attention since 1992 - hans schmidt MU - 7/19 16:53:17
               That was Bubba's play but at least the Dem Party - raskolnikov MU - 7/19 17:01:53
                    No they dont - hans schmidt MU - 7/19 19:28:38
     RE: Biden holds 21 point lead among voters - MOCO SON MU - 7/19 15:59:31
          I mean... You don't have to shop for very long. - markymarksthirdnipple STL - 7/19 16:06:54
               RE: I mean... You don't have to shop for very long. - MOCO SON MU - 7/19 16:08:10
                    It's the only ray of sunshine they can cling to. - Logan BAMA - 7/19 16:18:55
                         You poor little snowflakes. - markymarksthirdnipple STL - 7/19 16:21:53
                              Huh? (nm) - Logan BAMA - 7/19 16:24:15
     Hillary by a landslide - Tigrrrr! MU - 7/19 15:50:44
          Live in the past all you want(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 7/19 17:02:51
          Before the Comey October surprise? Yeah, maybe. Pretty sure - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 15:57:31
     Its difficult to imagine why anyone would ever consider - JG A - 7/19 15:36:38
     RE: Biden holds 21 point lead among voters - DollarSigns MU - 7/19 15:21:52
          And Rasmussen had the most accurate poll ever in 2012 - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 15:47:49
     RE: Biden holds 21 point lead among voters - BH O'bonga MU - 7/19 15:20:26
     More misinformation from Ace. - Reagan STL - 7/19 15:15:02
          They love their polls because they work so well. - Logan BAMA - 7/19 15:36:05
               RE: They love their polls because they work so well. - MOCO SON MU - 7/19 16:05:01
                    I have little faith in polls nowadays no matter - Logan BAMA - 7/19 16:15:23
                         I'm sure you don't. They don't look good for.you. nm - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 16:38:56
                              Lol (nm) - Logan BAMA - 7/19 16:44:28
               Polls are a convenient way to lie, with statistics. - RHAYWORTH MU - 7/19 15:42:51
                    The result was within the range of outcomes. - markymarksthirdnipple STL - 7/19 15:50:27
                         Silver had Trump with a 30% chance to win on election - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 15:55:00
                              RE: Silver had Trump with a 30% chance to win on election - markymarksthirdnipple STL - 7/19 16:05:55
                                   Yeah, Biden seems to have learned from 2016 and the same - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 16:13:20
                                   RE: Silver had Trump with a 30% chance to win on election - MOCO SON MU - 7/19 16:07:33
                                        No one really knew what Trump was going to be...they - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 16:41:02
                    Agree with your whole post except the last Paragraph - Logan BAMA - 7/19 15:47:01
                         Some on the right lie about righties being on the left. - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 15:49:12
                              RE: Some on the right lie about righties being on the left. - MOCO SON MU - 7/19 16:09:48
                              You go with that... - Logan BAMA - 7/19 15:56:37
                                   I would be wrong if JG were actually a liberal as you - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 15:59:09
                                        You're wrong...you just won't admit it. - Logan BAMA - 7/19 16:09:22
                                             You think that anyone left of Reagan is a lefty, and some - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 16:19:08
                                                  Apparently you have a blind spot for how radically left - Logan BAMA - 7/19 16:23:00
                                                       I wish they were more left. They have been centrist ever - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 16:42:34
                                        You are incredibly wrong, claiming otherwise is bullshyte. - RHAYWORTH MU - 7/19 16:05:43
                                             No, he doesn't....gawd you are dumb and dishonest. Nm - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 16:06:33
                                                  21 pages of results using jg green new deal. - RHAYWORTH MU - 7/19 16:09:37
                                                       Ecofriendly is actually a conservative position, at least it - SparkyStalcup MU - 7/19 16:46:04
                                                            so it's left or right not on concept or policy, but who - 90Tiger STL - 7/19 16:51:35




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