Silver had Trump with a 30% chance to win on election
Posted on: July 19, 2020 at 15:55:00 CT
SparkyStalcup MU
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night. That's not even close to zero, and basically it took 3 very close results in swing states for Trump to win. Certainly within margin of error of most polls, and polls are a snapshot of a sample of voter sentiment at any one time, and they aren't necessarily predictive.