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there has been a wide range of projections

Posted on: March 28, 2020 at 14:12:50 CT

*M* KC

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M.O.B. Votes:

1.6 million, at a 1% death rate, assumes half the country gets infected. Social distancing employed to date, if continued, will keep it well below that.

As I understand the website, they are assuming that all restrictions remain in place.

Please explain why this message is being reported.

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MESSAGE THREAD

This is sobering - *M* KC - 3/28 13:59:40

I’m starting to think the more hysterical docs get more $. - Emoji Man MSU - 3/28 15:37:19

Looks like the infamous Imperial Model (nm) - Sal MU

- 3/28 15:01:33

You considering offing yourself and the family to avoid the - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 14:31:54

RE: You considering offing yourself and the family to avoid the - *M* KC - 3/28 14:38:10

No, i'm not reacting to "projections" and being hysterical - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:02:58

LOL - *M* KC - 3/28 15:04:51

you should review your posts the past week (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:11:57

LOL again - *M* KC - 3/28 15:15:37

everyone in which you chastise folks for not reacting - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:25:44

LOL a third time. - *M* KC - 3/28 15:47:14

I'm truly impressed (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 18:42:53

the next time one of those models is accurate will be the - MizzouAstro MU

- 3/28 14:24:44

They’re the lucky ones - El-ahrairah BAMA - 3/28 14:05:31

That seems a lot like laughing at what scientists said - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:25:13

yeah libtard scientists are geniuses now(nm) - TigerFan92 MU - 3/28 15:23:55

I may actually die from longing for the soul enriching - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:10:53

RE: I may actually die from longing for the soul enriching - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:28:39

yer such a good person - TigerFan92 MU - 3/28 15:24:42

I am a jihadist, so there you have it(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 15:42:38

What is sobering is that Gates is one of the elite behind - jonesin - 3/28 14:05:16

That would be bad, but less than most “expert” projections - tiger4real MU - 3/28 14:04:22

Yes, not long ago many predictions were well into - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:07:46

You guys have some FCKED UP news sources - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:31:31

note that’s only through August 3. Absent a vaccine, or a - *M* KC - 3/28 14:07:39

There will not be a vaccine for a year. Likely get a second - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:32:57

I understand. Don’t think a vaccine will be avail until ’21 - tiger4real MU - 3/28 14:12:16

I hope this is avoided - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:02:35

when they are overstated, experts will say it's because - MizzouAstro MU

- 3/28 14:25:50

Same thing the man made global warming "the earth will be - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:27:07

Well, this model is about 1,600,000 deaths below previous - ummmm MU - 3/28 14:07:39

As noted above, its only through August 3 - *M* KC - 3/28 14:08:53

So, 80,000 before August 3rd and 1,600,000 next winter - ummmm MU - 3/28 14:10:11

That model uses 1918 stats against current population-fwit(nm) - Mo Texan MU - 3/28 14:36:41

there has been a wide range of projections - *M* KC - 3/28 14:12:50

What purpose do these projections serve? Especially - ummmm MU - 3/28 14:16:05

to guide wise decision making(nm) - *M* KC - 3/28 14:39:24

is it wisdom to follow inaccurate models?(nm) - MizzouAstro MU

- 3/28 14:52:10

it is wisdom to give credence to models that are prudently - *M* KC - 3/28 14:56:33

i think it's prudent to utilize all information at hand - MizzouAstro MU

- 3/28 15:21:25

to scare people - MizzouAstro MU

- 3/28 14:31:31

Ignorance is indeed bliss. (nm) - *M* KC - 3/28 14:41:17

And projections are often wrong - and quite wrong - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:43:25

RE: And projections are often wrong - and quite wrong - *M* KC - 3/28 14:50:59

what is "erring on the side of caution" vs. what we're all - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:30:30

Prudence is wise. Hysteria not - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 15:00:34

you'll see hysteria when the food runs out (nm) - ashtray UF - 3/28 15:41:23

well, yeah (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 18:42:33

I'm not sure where you've seen hysteria. - *M* KC - 3/28 15:03:18

No one knows how many have already been infected - tiger4real MU - 3/28 14:15:58

Id say possibly, rather than likely(nm) - *M* KC - 3/28 14:52:08