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The only variation is that they are not offering you a

Posted on: October 2, 2017 at 13:40:35 CT
DHighlander NWMSU
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trade. In the Monte Hall problem they eliminate an incorrect door and offer you a swap. If you take the swap the odds are 2-in-3, keeping your original choice is 1-in-3.

Your original pick in both cases sets the odds. Those odds do not change simply by knowing one is eliminated.
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'The World's Smartest Woman' slammed for thinking - JeffB MU - 10/2 12:15:52
     I almost fell for this again. But it is the Monte Hall - DHighlander NWMSU - 10/2 13:15:03
          No. It's a slight variation of the Monte Hall question. - JeffB MU - 10/2 13:28:15
               The only variation is that they are not offering you a - DHighlander NWMSU - 10/2 13:40:35
                    Here's the mathematical equation... - JeffB MU - 10/2 13:45:16
     Wrong board (nm) - pickle MU - 10/2 12:42:24
          Quit thinking like a woman, hypocrite. - JeffB MU - 10/2 12:51:16
               Wrong board (nm) - pickle MU - 10/2 13:05:52
     75% - Uncle Fester USMC - 10/2 12:20:51
     50% - MizzouTigerz MU - 10/2 12:18:39
          How did you arrive at that figure? (nm) - JeffB MU - 10/2 12:21:25
               There are only two with a gold coin, it's one of the two. - MizzouTigerz MU - 10/2 12:23:35
                    The key is that you already drew a gold coin(nm) - tigerNkc MU - 10/2 12:25:04
                         would still be the same if the first coin was silver - Silas MU - 10/2 12:29:57
                              Here's a visualization... - JeffB MU - 10/2 12:47:28
                                   Focus on the question asked - Silas MU - 10/2 12:51:19
                                        No. You are focusing on the wrong thing, as liberals are - JeffB MU - 10/2 12:53:03
                                             no. - Silas MU - 10/2 12:55:36
                                                  Read the article if you can't understand it from my - JeffB MU - 10/2 12:58:31
                                                       you F’d up your question - Silas MU - 10/2 13:01:21
                                                            They are both based upon the same principle. The one who - JeffB MU - 10/2 13:05:02
                                                                 RE: They are both based upon the same principle. The one who - Silas MU - 10/2 13:11:05
                                                                      'Look back at the question asked.' - JeffB MU - 10/2 13:19:03
                                                                           The only way to have a second gold coin in the box is - DHighlander NWMSU - 10/2 13:36:56
                                                                           No, the parodox answer is 67% - Silas MU - 10/2 13:26:13
                                                                                This is the inverse of the paradox problem. That means - DHighlander NWMSU - 10/2 13:41:51
                                                                                Sorry, I meant 2/3rds. (nm) - JeffB MU - 10/2 13:30:58
                              I took boxes left not same box. - MizzouTigerz MU - 10/2 12:45:44
                              Not true. - MizzouTigerz MU - 10/2 12:42:50
                                   Okay, You're right. - MizzouTigerz MU - 10/2 12:47:48
                                   No. Assuming you’re picking from the same box - Silas MU - 10/2 12:45:04




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