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You should educated yourself and understand what designation

Posted on: August 30, 2017 at 14:33:30 CT
Salty Dog MU
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How often does a 100-year flood occur?
You have likely heard references to 20, 100, 500 (etc) year flood plains. Do you know what that really means? A 100-year flood does not mean that such a flood is likely to occur every 100 years; rather, it means that there is a one in one-hundred (or 1%) chance of such a flood occurring in any given year.
Two 100-year floods could occur two years in a row, or a month apart, depending on how much rain is falling or how much snow falls & how quickly it melts. A 20-year flood would have a one in twenty (or 5%) chance of occurring in a particular year. A 500-year flood has a one in 500 (0.2%) chance of occcurring.
Likely the 500 year flood would be more catastrophic than the 100 year flood, which would be more catastrophic than the 20 year flood, etc.
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Houston has had 3 once in 500 year storms in 50 years - Danny Whizzbang USA - 8/30 14:18:38
     RE: Houston has had 3 once in 500 year storms in 50 years - MOCO SON MU - 8/30 18:17:48
     So now you're the meteorologist who gives BJs? - Emoji Man MSU - 8/30 17:15:15
     You should educated yourself and understand what designation - Salty Dog MU - 8/30 14:33:30
     Guess that makes them 6 in 500 year storms.nm - tiger4real MU - 8/30 14:23:25
     And I just flipped a coin five times and got tails every - DHighlander NWMSU - 8/30 14:21:28
          Perhaps the probability models are wrong(nm) - Danny Whizzbang USA - 8/30 14:22:03
               or there is a problem with the data - FootballRefugee MU - 8/30 14:33:36
               Or perhaps probabilities do not work the way you think they - DHighlander NWMSU - 8/30 14:31:36
     yet not one in the US in last 12 years before Harvey(nm) - tigerNkc MU - 8/30 14:21:05
          And a number of storms worse than Harvey in the last 100+ - Uncle Fester USMC - 8/30 14:39:41




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