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Or perhaps probabilities do not work the way you think they

Posted on: August 30, 2017 at 14:31:36 CT
DHighlander NWMSU
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do.

You could have 500 year storms in back to back years, that does not mean the probabilities are wrong it is just the way of random numbers.

Over a long time it averages out to a storm every 500 years. That does not mean there can only be one every 500 years.
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Houston has had 3 once in 500 year storms in 50 years - Danny Whizzbang USA - 8/30 14:18:38
     RE: Houston has had 3 once in 500 year storms in 50 years - MOCO SON MU - 8/30 18:17:48
     So now you're the meteorologist who gives BJs? - Emoji Man MSU - 8/30 17:15:15
     You should educated yourself and understand what designation - Salty Dog MU - 8/30 14:33:30
     Guess that makes them 6 in 500 year storms.nm - tiger4real MU - 8/30 14:23:25
     And I just flipped a coin five times and got tails every - DHighlander NWMSU - 8/30 14:21:28
          Perhaps the probability models are wrong(nm) - Danny Whizzbang USA - 8/30 14:22:03
               or there is a problem with the data - FootballRefugee MU - 8/30 14:33:36
               Or perhaps probabilities do not work the way you think they - DHighlander NWMSU - 8/30 14:31:36
     yet not one in the US in last 12 years before Harvey(nm) - tigerNkc MU - 8/30 14:21:05
          And a number of storms worse than Harvey in the last 100+ - Uncle Fester USMC - 8/30 14:39:41




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