the "I can't buy a home like my parents" narrative is BS
Posted on: May 21, 2025 at 13:45:53 CT
tigerinhogtown STL
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most will find this too long to bother with.
In 1981 I bought a 1500 sf home built in 1905 for $40k with a mortgage at 17% - $460/ month (thanks Carter) on a salary of $21k as a construction engineer(sold this one at $38k a $2k loss). That same home is now valued by Zillow at $165k basically a 4x increase ($925/month, a 2x increase). A new hire construction engineer starts at $75k a 3.5x increase, figure in the 10% drop in mortgage rates and it is a wash.
For all mortgage payment numbers I assumed 20% down, 7.5% current mortgage rate, and did not include insurance or taxes expecting that they have increased at close to the same rate as home values.
In 1984 I bought a 2300 sf home (built in the 1960s) for $70k with a mortgage rate at 13% ($640/month) on a salary of $28k sold it 2 years later for $82k. It's current Zillow value is $300k (1,680/month, a 3x increase), little better than 4x increase in value. An experienced construction engineer makes $90k, little better than a 3x increase.
In 1986 I bought a new 2200 sf home for $145k with a mortgage rate of 11% ($1,100/month)on a salary of $48k (top of the field for a project engineer at the time). Sold it 8 years later for $148k (did not do well). It's current Zillow value is $430k ($2,400/month a 2.2x increase) a 3x increase and the top salary for a construction engineer is currently $125k, 2.5x increase.
In 1994 I bought a 2200 sf home built in 1979 for $148,000 with a mortgage rate of 8.5% ($910/mo)on a construction project manager salary of $58k. Sold it in 1995 for $154,000. It's current value is $380,000 ($2,125/mo, 2.33x increase) a 2.5x increase, construction project manager salaries are in the $110 range, a 1.9% increase.