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Not IF those bettor's odds are pretty close to accurate.

Posted on: August 14, 2024 at 15:20:32 CT
JeffB MU
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270 EVs are needed to win the election. IF every election went exactly as the bettors' odds would predict Kamala would get 276 of them.

IF they all went as the bettors' would seem to expect, flipping any state with 7 or more EVs would flip the election to Trump.

Flipping ANY ONE of Michigan (15 EVs & 66% Kamala), Wisconsin (10 EVs & 59% Kamala), or Pennsylvania (19 EVs & 56% Kamala) would give Trump the victory.

If Trump dropped Arizona (11 EVs & 51% Trump), but picked up Pennsylvania he would also win.
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Predict it has Kamala winning as calculated on a state by - JeffB MU - 8/14 14:28:19
     Pretty much down to PA and MI deciding it, nm - MU-TULSA MU - 8/14 16:32:04
          Or Wisconsin. If Trump takes any of those 3, along with the - JeffB MU - 8/14 17:40:06
     Mass will not be going for the trump - JG A - 8/14 14:45:09
          Is this you being the toughest on dems again?(nm) - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 15:18:42
               LOL are there any of you delusionals - JG A - 8/14 15:24:58
                    That has nothing to do with your stupid claim that you're - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 15:48:25
                    That's beside the point and you're obviously lying again - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 15:45:51
                         the point was beside the point! - JG A - 8/14 15:47:09
                              No the point is you can't stop lying(nm) - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 15:53:09
                                   your "point" has no reality whatsoever - JG A - 8/14 16:10:22
                                        Weren't you voted unanimously the boards biggest liar? - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 16:12:14
                                             Every single one of the few who voted - JG A - 8/14 16:15:22
                                                  The poll was open to anyone on the board - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 16:18:32
                    Then why did you post "what are the Ds doing that's - Reagan STL - 8/14 15:43:24
                         to see if any of you partisan hacks could give an answer - JG A - 8/14 15:47:52
                              Your Dems just gave the finger to democracy by anointing - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 15:54:49
          You are right. My bad. PredictIt would then give Kamala - JeffB MU - 8/14 14:52:51
               the way it lines up is that IF WI , MI and PA - JG A - 8/14 15:03:23
                    Not IF those bettor's odds are pretty close to accurate. - JeffB MU - 8/14 15:20:32
                         iIf either the dems or the repubs win those 3 States - JG A - 8/14 15:39:49
                              no JG. Pubs can win with 1 of MI/PA/WI, Dems need - 90Tiger STL - 8/14 18:34:48
                              IF all of the others go as the bettors predict, PA alone - JeffB MU - 8/14 15:44:03
               If those odds are fairly close to accurate, it looks like - JeffB MU - 8/14 15:02:36
          MUH KAMALA - GODZILLA MU - 8/14 14:50:32
          lol NOT MUH DEMS!!! (nm) - Sal CMSU - 8/14 14:46:33
               You guys do hate facts - JG A - 8/14 14:47:34
                    Your post had zero facts in it - Sal CMSU - 8/14 14:53:44
                         I do follow the facts, which we can all agree never align - JG A - 8/14 14:56:20
                              No you don't. You just follow the dem talking points, you - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 15:26:02
                              JG with another fact free post. - Reagan STL - 8/14 15:08:22




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