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The trend lately is that the incumbent president loses
Posted on: March 7, 2022 at 08:35:35 CT
SparkyStalcup MU
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House seats in the midterms.
2018 was a bit of an outlier in the Senate in that 26 of the 35 races were incumbent Democrats, and four of those Dem Senators were in red states (Missouri, Indiana, North Dakota, and Florida (still kind of purplish)). Dems picked up seats in two purple states (Nevada, Arizona), but the other available GOP seats up for election were in Mississippi (both seats), Utah, Nebraska, Texas, Wyoming, and Tennessee. So the deck was kind of stacked in 2018 for the Senate, but the Dems were unable to really take advantage of the reverse trend in 2020 (They managed to barely take the Senate, but not enough to overcome King Manchin)
2018 was a bit of an outlier in the Senate in that 26 of the 35 races were incumbent Democrats, and four of those Dem Senators were in red states (Missouri, Indiana, North Dakota, and Florida (still kind of purplish)). Dems picked up seats in two purple states (Nevada, Arizona), but the other available GOP seats up for election were in Mississippi (both seats), Utah, Nebraska, Texas, Wyoming, and Tennessee. So the deck was kind of stacked in 2018 for the Senate, but the Dems were unable to really take advantage of the reverse trend in 2020 (They managed to barely take the Senate, but not enough to overcome King Manchin)
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The trend lately is that the incumbent president loses - SparkyStalcup MU - 3/7 08:35:35