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Closing in on herd immunity...
Posted on: March 7, 2021 at 21:58:31 CT
JeffB MU
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Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) calculated at .23% per WHO
http://tigerboard.com/boards/view.php?message=17473201
Dividing the number of deaths in the US by the IFR gives us approximately 232,871,304 people infected in the US as of last Friday or some 70.12% of the US population.
80% of the US population would be about 265,678,398 people, meaning around 32,807,093 more people would need to become infected or vaccinated to hit that 80% threshold.
Again using Friday's numbers, since some states don't report cases or deaths over the weekend, 1,836 people died that day meaning approximately 798,261 people had been infected to cause that many deaths.
At that rate it would take approximately 41 days from Friday for 80% of the US population to have been infected with Covid.
But if the vaccines are actually as effective as touted, herd immunity should arrive much quicker than that.
https://news.yahoo.com/u-vaccinating-average-2-million-011021482.html
The United States has picked up the vaccination pace, and for the first time on Wednesday, the average number of COVID-19 vaccine doses administered per day surpassed 2 million, The New York Times reports. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/03/04/world/covid-19-coronavirus#the-united-states-is-now-averaging-2-million-vaccine-doses-administered-per-day
It seems to me that all the fretting over eliminating the mask mandates in Texas is somewhere between quite overblown and ridiculous.
It is time to return America back to "normal", or as normal as we can be with a radical Democrat at the helm.
http://tigerboard.com/boards/view.php?message=17473201
Dividing the number of deaths in the US by the IFR gives us approximately 232,871,304 people infected in the US as of last Friday or some 70.12% of the US population.
80% of the US population would be about 265,678,398 people, meaning around 32,807,093 more people would need to become infected or vaccinated to hit that 80% threshold.
Again using Friday's numbers, since some states don't report cases or deaths over the weekend, 1,836 people died that day meaning approximately 798,261 people had been infected to cause that many deaths.
At that rate it would take approximately 41 days from Friday for 80% of the US population to have been infected with Covid.
But if the vaccines are actually as effective as touted, herd immunity should arrive much quicker than that.
https://news.yahoo.com/u-vaccinating-average-2-million-011021482.html
The United States has picked up the vaccination pace, and for the first time on Wednesday, the average number of COVID-19 vaccine doses administered per day surpassed 2 million, The New York Times reports. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/03/04/world/covid-19-coronavirus#the-united-states-is-now-averaging-2-million-vaccine-doses-administered-per-day
It seems to me that all the fretting over eliminating the mask mandates in Texas is somewhere between quite overblown and ridiculous.
It is time to return America back to "normal", or as normal as we can be with a radical Democrat at the helm.
Please explain why this message is being reported.
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Closing in on herd immunity... - JeffB MU - 3/7 21:58:31