Trump has one path, It is an inside straight
Posted on: October 25, 2020 at 11:28:04 CT
raskolnikov MU
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If he doesn't hit it, he loses. His support among suburban women who showed up for him V Hillary is gone. The folks on the fences, willing to take a flyer on the guy, I bet that support is halved. He has LOST support with non-college-educated white men. He still has the support, but not to the degree he did. Four years ago, he had cohorts that are far weakened.
He beat a woman he could easily vilify. He runs now against an older white guy that darned near everyone likes. I have gone from no shot in hell to very unlikely. Trump needs ALL of it to win, ALL the battlegrounds. Biden doesn't. Advantage Biden,
What Trump did not face in '16 was one sht-ton of angry Dems who are not sitting in out this time. In fact they have voted early in droves. I don't b/c to vote early I have to lie about my not being able to show up on the 3rd and I am not doing that.