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The models targeted hospitalizations and worked back

Posted on: May 4, 2020 at 13:52:45 CT

ummmm MU

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to deaths. The models completely missed hospitalizations.

And now the death data is corrupted by incentives to code COVID.

So the models (even the fifth revised down versions) were wrong.

Edited by ummmm at 13:56:12 on 05/04/20

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MESSAGE THREAD

So today or tomorrow we’ll pass 70,000 dead, and we’re seein - *M* KC - 5/4 13:48:38

3,000? 1,154 yesterday, 1,691 saturday, 1,897 friday, 2,201 - tigerNkc MU

- 5/4 14:29:46

RE: So today or tomorrow we’ll pass 70,000 dead, and we’re seein - tigerNkc MU

- 5/4 14:26:36

RE: So today or tomorrow we’ll pass 70,000 dead, and we’re seein - *M* KC - 5/4 14:29:25

Not in a billion, zillion years. - Toger STL - 5/4 14:19:41

we are at 300 in Missouri - El-ahrairah BAMA - 5/4 14:07:44

Well, that settles it. If its only - *M* KC - 5/4 14:08:41

The issue is the lockdown. Unless the old - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:13:16

You seem to have a problem with issue recognition - *M* KC - 5/4 14:21:33

You have to just be trolling at this point - ummmm MU - 5/4 14:31:31

RE: You have to just be trolling at this point - *M* KC - 5/4 14:34:11

Sounds like you're lying - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:37:02

RE: You have to just be trolling at this point - ummmm MU - 5/4 14:35:57

RE: You have to just be trolling at this point - *M* KC - 5/4 14:37:53

Why do you choose to go through life as a liar? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 15:01:06

he's an attorney - SwampTiger MU - 5/4 15:27:27

I've never told anyone on this board to start a new thread. - ummmm MU - 5/4 14:39:21

and you never respond to people who disagree wit - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:24:59

RE: and you never respond to people who disagree wit - *M* KC - 5/4 14:26:34

You've yet to respond to one in this thread you needed to - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:28:46

TRanslation: You ingore anyone who disagrees with you. (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:27:41

interesting observation from one whom i regularly talk to - *M* KC - 5/4 14:35:48

It's a good laugh every time you accuse someone... - Gyro MU - 5/4 14:26:30

When anyone speaks to you, it's impossible to not do so (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:27:22

Yeah, you missed the part... - Gyro MU - 5/4 14:41:23

When did I claim to not be condescending, mental giant? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 15:46:34

whats amazing about your perpetual condescension - *M* KC - 5/4 14:31:50

Every day you come here, you engage briefly, get - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 15:02:56

RE: You seem to have a problem with issue recognition - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:24:23

RE: You seem to have a problem with issue recognition - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:24:11

The models were dead wrong and you're revising - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:23:40

it should only be a big deal - El-ahrairah BAMA - 5/4 14:10:22

RE: it should only be a big deal - *M* KC - 5/4 14:14:52

According to worldometers, deaths in the US - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:01:05

RE: According to worldometers, deaths in the US - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:03:55

So now they're low-balling it? - dangertim MU

- 5/4 15:13:34

from the OP - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:06:31

^ trusts Trump. (nm) - ummmm MU - 5/4 14:04:43

He asked a question - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:06:20

No you didn't - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:06:49

To be completely fair, you said - kmawv8 MU - 5/4 14:23:09

Oh, I figured since I was responding directly to *M* - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:27:00

Well, when your question says "everybody" it implies that - kmawv8 MU - 5/4 14:29:18

You asked where the 3000 deaths per day # - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:08:23

That was a projection, not what is currently happening (nm) - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:09:10

I didn't say it was happening currently. - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:10:46

lol jfc learn how to read (nm) - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:10:58

He's typing so clearly he can read. - Toger STL - 5/4 14:14:00

you're really retarded sal - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:12:02

you really need to check the OP (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:14:10

"we're seein' close to 3000 new deaths per day" - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:13:06

I didn't write the OP. - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:13:39

then WTF are you responding to? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 14:14:27

another mentally handicapped individual checking in - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:16:00

Then why were you answering for him? (nm) - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:13:59

I wasn't. And I didn't claim 3k per day was happening - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:15:20

But you didn't - Sal MU

- 5/4 14:17:45

Okay, Sal. My mistake - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:18:44

That's a funny name.(nm) - Toger STL - 5/4 14:02:35

Lol. That's not what the original models forecasted at all. - RHAYWORTH MU - 5/4 13:57:39

if you post this enough, you may convince yourself. - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 13:54:33

Thought I recently heard 74k by august. - Toger STL - 5/4 13:54:21

The numbers are inflated and models keep on changing - tcat KC - 5/4 13:52:52

The numbers are undercounted. Nm - SparkyStalcup MU - 5/4 13:53:47

Care to back that statement up with an actual fact or two? - RHAYWORTH MU - 5/4 13:58:38

RE: Care to back that statement up with an actual fact or two? - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:00:05

You're relying on partial data? - RHAYWORTH MU - 5/4 14:04:16

You asked a question - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:05:34

that source directly states it's based on partial data. - RHAYWORTH MU - 5/4 14:08:35

The feel free to disregard it. (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 5/4 14:11:08

you're doing you again (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 13:57:11

what??? (nm) - tcat KC - 5/4 13:56:30

lol(nm) - MizzouAstro MU

- 5/4 13:54:10

The models targeted hospitalizations and worked back - ummmm MU - 5/4 13:52:45

We're as close to 3000 deaths per day as we were at - kmawv8 MU - 5/4 13:52:20

It's amazing. You let data get nearly to present time - 90Tiger STL - 5/4 13:56:08

And we had a correction from the CDC of the 65,000 - RayKinsella1922 SEC - 5/4 13:51:34

RE: And we had a correction from the CDC of the 65,000 - GMT MU - 5/4 14:29:29

That's a data lag. (nm) - ummmm MU - 5/4 13:54:45