So, , , , it looks like the models were correct
Posted on: May 2, 2020 at 19:08:30 CT
*M* KC
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We’re now well over 60,000 dead, growing by 2,000 per day, and many areas of the country accelerating. Nationally, it’s not even clear the death rate has peaked, although it may have temporarily plateaued.
The early models on which the shutdowns were based, which have been so roundly castigated and mocked by know-nothings here, projected death tolls by August 1 of 100,000 to 240,000 with aggressive and broad social distancing (which, generally, we’ve had). August 1 is still 3 months away.
Sadly, it now appears very likely we’ll end up within that range, at least if we’re lucky enough not to exceed it. This is most unfortunate. I wish you clowns had been right, but it appears very doubtful that you were.