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let's do the math

Posted on: September 28, 2017 at 08:59:53 CT

gmmm98 MU

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assuming their respective win/loss percentages for the season are representative of the likelihood of winning/losing each of the last four games, not adjusting the probability for the wins and losses over the next four games, and not taking into consideration any playoff in the event of a tie (which i think there would be), the probability the cardinals tie the rockies for the second wild card is:

(.519)^4 x (.459)^4=(.0725)x(.0443)=.00314

so, 00.314%.

https://giphy.com/gifs/jim-carrey-dumb-and-dumber-so-youre-telling-me-theres-a-chance-ToMjGpKniGqRNLGBrhu

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REPLY

MESSAGE THREAD

Cards chances of getting the second WC spot? - Nebraska99 STL - 9/28 08:50:11

doesn't take a rocket genius to figure that out(nm) - SEC_BIG_GAMEHUNTER SEC - 9/28 09:07:10

I'd guess mathematically it's slim at best - Eggs MU - 9/28 09:05:27

let's do the math - gmmm98 MU - 9/28 08:59:53

ESPN has it as .1%(nm) - TheWildcat STL - 9/28 09:02:38

i didn't factor in milwaukee - gmmm98 MU - 9/28 09:04:55

You sir, are no Alfred Einstein. nm - Nebraska99 STL - 9/28 09:07:21

RE: You sir, are no Alfred Einstein. nm - gmmm98 MU - 9/28 09:13:08

LMAO nm - Nebraska99 STL - 9/28 09:27:14

**** - gmmm98 MU - 9/28 09:01:42

I just fapped to your math(nm) - Gyro MU - 9/28 09:01:30

Rockies have to lose out, Cardinals have to win out. - TheWildcat STL - 9/28 08:53:35

if we win out, milwaukee will suck for certain(nm) - ajpe53 MU

- 9/28 09:00:38

Still better than the Royals chances(nm) - lqf2b8 MU

- 9/28 08:58:34

Yep, cicada time for the Royals.... - Gyro MU - 9/28 09:00:20

Matheny just couldn't properly motivate his team to finish - Fire Marshall Bill MU - 9/28 08:57:46

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