Welcome Guest
Sign In | Register

One issue at play - I have no answer was timing t

Posted on: April 20, 2017 at 14:33:15 CT
raskolnikov MU
Posts:
188057
Member For:
24.78 yrs
Level:
User
M.O.B. Votes:
0
WI was polled late Oct and Nov 1 and the election was a week off - the Comey thing comes into play there a little bit, but while SOME swing state polling was off - most of the polling was right.

Here is a piece.

The state poll averages in key states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania prior to the election pointed to a Clinton win in each state. Trump won each state (albeit apparently by a very narrow margin in Michigan). The final RealClear Politics average in Pennsylvania was Clinton +1.9. Trump won by 1.2. From a statistical perspective, this difference between poll average and outcome is within the margin of error. In Michigan, the final polling average was Clinton +3.4, and Trump at this point has a very small 0.3 average win. Wisconsin showed the biggest deviation, with the final poll average of a 6.5 Clinton win; Trump won by 1.0. But the four polls used in the Wisconsin average by RealClear Politics were completed on Oct. 27, Oct. 31, Nov. 1 and Nov. 2. The election was Nov. 8, meaning that the predictions in Wisconsin were based on data about a week or more old.
Report Message

Please explain why this message is being reported.

REPLY

Handle:
Password:
Subject:

MESSAGE THREAD

AVERAGE approval for Doofus fiirst 3 months - 41 % - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:28:18
     What was Gallup's election prediction based on polling? - Alferd Packer MU - 4/20 14:23:21
     he's incompetent he's probably incontinent too - tigerden MU - 4/20 14:01:49
     You wanted Hillary, and you lost. - RHAYWORTH MU - 4/20 13:53:52
          No, I wanted Sanders - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:57:44
     and Hillary was so far ahead she ignored polls - FootballRefugee MU - 4/20 13:36:43
          Clinton's people ran a shyt campaign. No question.(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:42:31
               and the polls were a lie - FootballRefugee MU - 4/20 13:45:31
                    No they weren't. MOST had given Clinton a slight lead, but - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:51:43
                         lulz - FootballRefugee MU - 4/20 14:04:58
                              It's rare to find someone remain so eagerly clueless. - RHAYWORTH MU - 4/20 14:07:50
                                   RE: It's rare to find someone remain so eagerly clueless. - sarasotatiger MU - 4/20 14:52:09
                                   rask is special, there's no question (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 4/20 14:16:24
                         lol (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 4/20 13:59:39
     what happened to all the 33 percent talk? Had to revise fake - TigerFan92 MU - 4/20 13:35:59
          What 33% talk. This report is from Gallup (nm) - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:43:11
               What did Gallup say about PA, WI and MI in the election? - Spanky KU - 4/20 13:51:40
                    How about you share that with us ? - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:54:37
                         Gallup polled off by 3-4% in all those states - Spanky KU - 4/20 14:00:46
                              Prove it - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 14:15:44
                                   PA was Clinton +2.1 - Spanky KU - 4/20 14:21:38
                                        One issue at play - I have no answer was timing t - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 14:33:15
                                             It was P!ss Poor Polling! - Spanky KU - 4/20 14:42:55
     Is Hillary still not President? - Spanky KU - 4/20 13:35:49
          Check the polls. - Alferd Packer MU - 4/20 14:29:17
     58% according to unbiased credible polls - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/20 13:32:47
     Lol - pickle MU - 4/20 13:30:08
          Guess what lover? - Not here to impress you(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:31:56
               "lover"? You're such a child, rask. Every time you break - 90Tiger MU - 4/20 13:43:12
               Good thing because I am pretty sure you have - GODZILLA MU - 4/20 13:34:38
                    Well then, no worries(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 4/20 13:43:56




©2025 Fanboards L.L.C. — Our Privacy Policy   About Tigerboard