For anyone that was really dialed into what was happening and was keeping their ear to the ground, I think they could have seen OU/TX projecting their moves years in advance. If Bowlsby was paying attention, he would have seen the chess moves being made and major problems in advance. A couple articles highlight the exact moves being projected:
- In 2016, the Big 12 conducted a nationwide review of 11 possible additions. Both OU/TX said they would not agree to an extension of their grant of rights (GOR) beyond 2025, regardless of the expansion outcome. At the same time, the ACC had agreed to a GOR through 2036 (a 20 year extension) with the creation of the ACC ESPN Network. Several sources also told CBS Sports that OU/TX wanted the flexibility to explore their options after 2025. The existing Big 12 schools also decided against expansion, even though 4 schools could have added an additional $800m-$1b in revenue under existing rights agreements. Both ESPN and FOX were against expansion.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/big-12-expansion-losing-momentum-no-grant-of-rights-extension-ranking-candidates/
- In 2017, Paul Finebaum said he had spoke with multiple sources that said OU wanted out of the Big 12. OU had previously bragged they were invited to the SEC in 2010 and TX was "30 minutes" from leaving for the PAC12 at the same time. He also predicted the Big 12 would cease to exist in 5 years and that expansion always goes "in twos." He said the lack of a sports network was a critical problem.
https://www.dallasnews.com/sports/2017/05/01/paul-finebaum-i-think-oklahoma-wants-out-of-the-big-12-desperately/
- In 2019, a sports columnist at AL.Com pretty much predicted everything that would happen. He said the Big 12 was the key to SEC expansion, expansion would come at the Big 12's expense, said realignment would crank up in 2022 with the expiration of TV deals in the Big 12 and Big 10, and spoke at length about OU/UT as the obvious additions with the growing gap in television revenue.
https://www.al.com/sports/2017/06/sec_expansion_how_the_big_12_c.html